Eastern Michigan
Men - Women
2011 - 2012 - 2013
Switch to All-time Team Page
RankNameGradeRating
29  Terefe Ejigu SR 31:19
246  Daryl Smith SO 32:19
361  Harry Dixon JR 32:36
608  Warren Witchell SO 33:08
731  Willy Fink FR 33:20
801  James Hughes SR 33:28
987  Cody Chabola JR 33:45
1,047  Nick Petro JR 33:50
1,251  Ian Hanke SO 34:08
1,334  Austin Lane FR 34:15
National Rank #51 of 311
Great Lakes Region Rank #5 of 30
Chance of Advancing to Nationals 2.2%
Most Likely Finish 6th at Regional


National Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at Nationals 0.0%
Top 10 at Nationals 0.0%
Top 20 at Nationals 0.0%


Regional Champion 0.0%
Top 5 in Regional 20.9%
Top 10 in Regional 95.7%
Top 20 in Regional 100.0%


Race Performance Ratings


Times listed are adjusted ratings based on performance compared to other runners in race.


RaceDateTeam Rating Terefe Ejigu Daryl Smith Harry Dixon Warren Witchell Willy Fink James Hughes Cody Chabola Nick Petro Ian Hanke Austin Lane
Notre Dame Invitational (Blue) 09/28 766 31:15 32:30 32:11 33:09 33:09 33:32 33:45 33:05 33:48
Pre-Nationals Meet (Black) 10/13 34:00 33:34 34:23
Pre-Nationals Meet (Red) 10/13 684 30:59 31:55 32:34 32:38 32:57 33:29 34:14
Mid-American Conference Championships 10/27 955 32:17 32:21 33:00 33:23 33:17 33:35 34:15 34:56 34:31
Great Lakes Region Championships 11/09 1057 32:29 32:45 33:19 35:08 33:56 33:58





NCAA Tournament Simulation


Based on results of 5,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.



Team Results

Advances to RoundAve FinishAve Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31
NCAA Championship 2.2% 28.9 663 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.5 0.7 0.3
Region Championship 100% 7.1 216 0.2 3.7 17.0 22.6 20.5 15.0 9.9 6.8 3.1 1.0 0.2



Individual Results

NCAA ChampionshipAdvances to RoundAve Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Terefe Ejigu 99.1% 34.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.4 0.8 1.1 1.2 1.3 1.5 1.5 2.1 2.1 2.4 2.0 2.1 2.3 2.4 2.3 2.5 2.1 2.2
Daryl Smith 13.2% 141.8
Harry Dixon 2.6% 172.0
Warren Witchell 2.2% 229.5
Willy Fink 2.2% 240.2
James Hughes 2.2% 243.6
Cody Chabola 2.2% 249.3


RegionalAve Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Terefe Ejigu 4.8 2.4 5.8 11.0 15.7 17.9 14.8 10.2 6.2 4.0 3.2 2.0 1.1 1.0 0.7 0.7 0.5 0.3 0.4 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.1
Daryl Smith 25.1 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.6 1.3 2.0 2.6 3.0 3.2 3.2 3.7 3.9 3.3 3.2 3.9 3.2 3.6 3.0 2.7 3.0
Harry Dixon 38.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.6 0.8 1.0 1.2 1.4 1.8 1.2 1.8 2.2 2.1 2.3
Warren Witchell 65.3 0.0
Willy Fink 77.1
James Hughes 85.3
Cody Chabola 100.8




NCAA Championship Selection Detail

Total
Region Finish Chance of Finishing Chance of Advancing Auto At Large Selection No Adv Auto At Large Region Finish
1 2 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
1 1
2 2
3 0.2% 90.9% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 3
4 3.7% 54.1% 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.5 0.4 0.3 0.1 1.7 2.0 4
5 17.0% 0.1% 0.0 17.0 0.0 5
6 22.6% 22.6 6
7 20.5% 20.5 7
8 15.0% 15.0 8
9 9.9% 9.9 9
10 6.8% 6.8 10
11 3.1% 3.1 11
12 1.0% 1.0 12
13 0.2% 0.2 13
14 14
15 15
16 16
17 17
18 18
19 19
20 20
21 21
22 22
23 23
24 24
25 25
26 26
27 27
28 28
29 29
30 30
Total 100% 2.2% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.5 0.4 0.3 0.1 97.8 0.0 2.2




Points



At large teams are selected based on the number of wins (points) against teams already in the championships. As a result, advancement is predicated on accumulating enough points before the last at-large selection. Accordingly, the points below are the total number of wins against automatic qualifiers or teams selected in the at-large process before the last selection. Minimum, maximum, and average points are number seen in 5,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament.



Received By BeatingChance ReceivedAverage If >0Average
Illinois 2.5% 1.0 0.0
William and Mary 0.9% 1.0 0.0
Louisville 0.3% 1.0 0.0
McNeese State 0.2% 1.0 0.0
Boise State 0.0% 1.0 0.0
Ohio State 0.0% 1.0 0.0
Lehigh 0.0% 1.0 0.0
Navy 0.0% 1.0 0.0
Total 0.0
Minimum 0.0
Maximum 2.0